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5 Days Left - Crunching the numbers to predict the Winner

  • Writer: Broken Joe
    Broken Joe
  • Oct 19, 2015
  • 2 min read

Who will win the Winter Classic?????

Rock asked about winning scores from last year. Clearly we did not keep records so I have no idea. With that said, we do have some data to project who could win the Winter Classic.

When we look at who won by handicap scores, it shows that Chris has the clear advantage and Dan with the disadvantage.

Handicap Wins

Chris – 7 * (23%)

Dave – 5 (16%)

Joe – 5 (16%)

Matt – 4 (13%)

Rock – 4 (13%)

Leon – 3 (10%)

Jake – 2 (6%)

Dan – 1 (3%)

Here is your magic number to get to par.:

Dave – 87

Jake – 96

Joe – 98

Chris – 100

Dan – 106

Leon – 112

Rock – 113

Matt – 121

Next we will look at how many time each person scored higher , lower or the same as their magic number…

Name – Higher score / Lower score / Same score

Dave - 12 / 4 / 3

Jake - 12 / 4 / 0

Joe - 16 / 6 / 3

Chris – 18 / 5 / 2

Dan – 17 / 2 / 1

Leon – 15 / 5 / 0

Rock – 10 / 8 / 1

Matt – 10 / 7 / 1

These numbers show that Rock has scored his magic number or lower 47% of the time. This is how the rest of us faired.

Matt – 44%

Dave – 37%

Joe – 36%

Chris – 28%

Jake – 25%

Leon – 25%

Dan – 15%

After equaling out all of the data, the numbers suggest the winner of the Winter Classic by percent:

Chris – 17%

Rock – 16%

Joe – 15%

Dave – 15%

Matt – 15%

Leon – 10%

Jake – 8%

Dan – 5%

Of course the numbers cannot measure heart or determination. That you will have to bring to the Winter Classic in order to break the computer’s prediction.


 
 
 

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